Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.1% vs Geekie 48.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 50.3%
Defensive zone
Geekie 78.1%
Neutral zone
Geekie 57.8%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Fantilli
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Fantilli
Geekie
Last 10: Fantilli 8-2 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
1
Fantilli
Geekie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
0
Fantilli
Geekie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Fantilli
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,930)
48.7% (2,289)
-4.5%
Power Play
53.4% (163)
45.9% (183)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (24)
45.7% (129)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Fantilli is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (705).
Fantilli shoots left. Geekie is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,909).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Geekie
Home
47.5% (1,040)
50.0% (1,277)
Away
42.2% (1,077)
46.8% (1,324)
By Period
Fantilli
Geekie
P1
43.9%
48.4%
P2
45.9%
48.9%
P3
45.4%
47.5%
OT
23.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
44.8%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 19:25 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |