Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Geekie 48.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 58.6%
Defensive zone
Geekie 85.3%
Neutral zone
Geekie 65.3%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Fantilli
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Fantilli
Geekie
Last 10: Fantilli 8-2 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
1
Fantilli
Geekie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
0
Fantilli
Geekie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Fantilli
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
48.7% (2,310)
-4.0%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
46.0% (189)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
45.7% (129)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (811).
Fantilli shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,927).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Geekie
Home
47.3% (1,209)
50.1% (1,283)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
46.8% (1,345)
By Period
Fantilli
Geekie
P1
43.8%
48.6%
P2
46.3%
48.9%
P3
45.9%
47.7%
OT
25.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 19:25 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |