Scouting Report
Nathan Walker holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Walker shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Walker 51.6% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Walker 53.9%
Defensive zone
Walker 87.7%
Neutral zone
Walker 74.7%
Result
Nathan Walker favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Fantilli
Walker
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Fantilli
Walker
Last 6: Fantilli 4-2 Walker
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Walker
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Walker
0
1
Fantilli
Walker
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
1
Fantilli
Walker
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Walker
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
52.7% (452)
-8.0%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
45.5% (11)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
44.4% (36)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Walker has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Walker shoots left. Fantilli is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,604).
Fantilli shoots left. Walker is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Walker
Home
47.3% (1,209)
52.7% (296)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
50.7% (203)
By Period
Fantilli
Walker
P1
43.8%
58.4%
P2
46.3%
47.4%
P3
45.9%
50.9%
Final 5 min
43.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Walker
52.0%▼
56.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |