Scouting Report
Noah Philp holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Philp shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Philp 53.4% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 69.5%
Defensive zone
Philp 89.7%
Neutral zone
Philp 62.3%
Result
Noah Philp favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Fantilli
Philp
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Fantilli
Philp
Last 6: Fantilli 4-2 Philp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Philp
0
1
Fantilli
Philp
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
1
Fantilli
Philp
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Philp
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
59.6% (109)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
28.6% (14)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Philp shoots right. Fantilli is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Fantilli shoots left. Philp is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Philp
Home
50.7% (503)
69.8% (43)
Away
48.5% (501)
48.8% (80)
By Period
Fantilli
Philp
P1
47.0%
56.8%
P2
52.5%
57.1%
P3
49.7%
54.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Philp
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Philp |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:36 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Noah Philp |