Scouting Report
Noah Philp holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Philp shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Philp 48.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 52.8%
Defensive zone
Philp 86.0%
Neutral zone
Philp 64.9%
Result
Noah Philp favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Fantilli
Philp
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Fantilli
Philp
Last 6: Fantilli 4-2 Philp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Philp
0
1
Fantilli
Philp
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
1
Fantilli
Philp
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Philp
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
50.0% (204)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
33.3% (21)
-2.5%
On even strength, Philp has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Philp shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (811).
Fantilli shoots left. Philp is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Philp
Home
47.3% (1,209)
52.6% (97)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
45.3% (128)
By Period
Fantilli
Philp
P1
43.8%
50.8%
P2
46.3%
48.9%
P3
45.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Philp
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Philp |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:36 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Noah Philp |