Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Acciari 51.0% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 91.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 85.6%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 56.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Fantilli
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Fantilli
Acciari
Last 10: Fantilli 3-7 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
4
Fantilli
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
3
Fantilli
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
53.1% (305)
-3.7%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
33.3% (18)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
49.7% (195)
+0.3%
On power play, Fantilli has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Fantilli is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Fantilli shoots left. Acciari is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Acciari
Home
50.7% (503)
52.6% (291)
Away
48.5% (501)
49.3% (227)
By Period
Fantilli
Acciari
P1
47.0%
54.0%
P2
52.5%
51.1%
P3
49.7%
48.8%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Acciari
44.0%▼
45.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |