Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Acciari 51.2% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 87.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 68.4%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 65.7%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Fantilli
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
14
(22 meetings)
8
14
Fantilli
Acciari
Last 10: Fantilli 3-7 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
6
0
Fantilli
Acciari
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
11
Fantilli
Acciari
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
3
Fantilli
Acciari
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
52.8% (3,304)
-8.1%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
48.3% (87)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
47.0% (1,073)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (811).
Fantilli shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Acciari
Home
47.3% (1,209)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
Fantilli
Acciari
P1
43.8%
52.3%
P2
46.3%
51.5%
P3
45.9%
50.2%
OT
25.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2025 | OT | 00:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |