Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs McLeod 47.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 87.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 66.4%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 66.5%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Fantilli
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Fantilli
McLeod
Last 5: Fantilli 4-1 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
0
Fantilli
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Fantilli
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
49.0% (827)
+0.4%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
44.0% (91)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
43.0% (272)
+7.0%
On power play, Fantilli has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Fantilli
McLeod
Home
50.7% (503)
48.5% (619)
Away
48.5% (501)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Fantilli
McLeod
P1
47.0%
52.7%
P2
52.5%
43.9%
P3
49.7%
45.8%
OT
33.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |