Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Poehling 48.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 86.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 79.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 52.8%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Fantilli
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Fantilli
Poehling
Last 9: Fantilli 6-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
1
Fantilli
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
50.4% (680)
-1.0%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
58.3% (12)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
38.8% (219)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Poehling
Home
50.7% (503)
47.4% (422)
Away
48.5% (501)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Fantilli
Poehling
P1
47.0%
53.3%
P2
52.5%
40.3%
P3
49.7%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |