Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Couturier 53.6% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 54.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 93.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 68.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Fantilli
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Fantilli
Couturier
Last 10: Fantilli 6-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
5
0
Fantilli
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
5
Fantilli
Couturier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
1
Fantilli
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
53.9% (792)
-4.5%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
62.9% (70)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
51.3% (234)
-1.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Couturier
Home
50.7% (503)
51.4% (541)
Away
48.5% (501)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Fantilli
Couturier
P1
47.0%
56.0%
P2
52.5%
52.6%
P3
49.7%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |