Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Newhook shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.8% vs Newhook 42.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 56.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 52.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 62.2%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Gaudette
Newhook
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Gaudette
Newhook
Last 8: Gaudette 5-3 Newhook
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
2
Gaudette
Newhook
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Newhook
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudette
Newhook
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Newhook
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,485)
41.7% (1,947)
+2.3%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
43.6% (211)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
44.4% (18)
+2.3%
On power play, Gaudette has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Newhook shoots left. Gaudette is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,202).
Gaudette shoots right. Newhook is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (846).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Newhook
Home
46.0% (913)
41.7% (1,076)
Away
42.6% (770)
42.1% (1,100)
By Period
Gaudette
Newhook
P1
44.9%
40.1%
P2
46.6%
42.2%
P3
41.4%
43.1%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.4%
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |