Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.8% vs Coyle 48.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 57.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 87.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 76.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Gaudette
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Gaudette
Coyle
Last 6: Gaudette 5-1 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Coyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,485)
49.4% (7,898)
-5.4%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
50.0% (794)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
43.5% (1,100)
+3.2%
On even strength, Coyle has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Gaudette is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Gaudette shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Coyle
Home
46.0% (913)
49.8% (4,865)
Away
42.6% (770)
47.9% (4,927)
By Period
Gaudette
Coyle
P1
44.9%
49.5%
P2
46.6%
48.3%
P3
41.4%
48.8%
OT
100.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.4%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |