Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.9% vs Evans 55.0% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 58.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 60.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 84.4%
15.6%
84.4%
Gaudette
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaudette
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (203)
55.6% (522)
-7.3%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
72.7% (11)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
55.2% (210)
-5.2%
On power play, Evans has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Gaudette is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Gaudette shoots right. Evans is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Evans
Home
48.9% (92)
54.7% (402)
Away
50.3% (149)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Gaudette
Evans
P1
48.8%
57.9%
P2
52.5%
55.2%
P3
48.1%
53.6%
Final 5 min
46.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.8%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |