Adam Gaudette vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.9% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 74.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 61.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 54.9%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Gaudette
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Gaudette
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Gaudette
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (203)
47.3% (207)
+1.0%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
100.0% (3)
-40.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Gaudette is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Gaudette shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kotkaniemi
Home
48.9% (92)
46.5% (129)
Away
50.3% (149)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Gaudette
Kotkaniemi
P1
48.8%
51.3%
P2
52.5%
46.1%
P3
48.1%
45.9%
Final 5 min
46.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.8%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |