Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.9% vs Sourdif 45.6% (+4.9%)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 56.6%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 55.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 51.0%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Gaudette
Sourdif
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (203)
44.3% (585)
+4.0%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
50.0% (24)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
61.5% (13)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Gaudette is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Gaudette shoots right. Sourdif is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Sourdif
Home
48.9% (92)
43.6% (321)
Away
50.3% (149)
46.2% (301)
By Period
Gaudette
Sourdif
P1
48.8%
41.9%
P2
52.5%
44.3%
P3
48.1%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.4%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.8%
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%