Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.9% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 61.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 89.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 64.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Gaudette
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Gaudette
Stenlund
Last 8: Gaudette 6-2 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (203)
56.2% (650)
-7.9%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
53.2% (47)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
51.6% (312)
-1.6%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Gaudette is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Gaudette shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Stenlund
Home
48.9% (92)
56.9% (483)
Away
50.3% (149)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Gaudette
Stenlund
P1
48.8%
54.2%
P2
52.5%
53.2%
P3
48.1%
56.9%
Final 5 min
46.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.8%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |