Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.8% vs Rossi 46.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 55.4%
Defensive zone
Rossi 51.2%
Neutral zone
Rossi 50.5%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Gaudette
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gaudette
Rossi
Last 5: Gaudette 2-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
3
Gaudette
Rossi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,485)
46.8% (2,180)
-2.8%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
47.1% (189)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
34.1% (44)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Gaudette has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Gaudette is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,202).
Gaudette shoots right. Rossi is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Rossi
Home
46.0% (913)
47.8% (1,225)
Away
42.6% (770)
45.4% (1,188)
By Period
Gaudette
Rossi
P1
44.9%
47.1%
P2
46.6%
44.7%
P3
41.4%
48.2%
OT
100.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
46.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.4%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |