Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.9% vs Jankowski 53.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 67.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 58.6%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 51.3%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Gaudette
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Gaudette
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Gaudette
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Gaudette
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (203)
53.7% (555)
-5.4%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
50.0% (14)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
54.3% (46)
-4.3%
On power play, Gaudette has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Gaudette is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Gaudette shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Jankowski
Home
48.9% (92)
53.2% (331)
Away
50.3% (149)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Gaudette
Jankowski
P1
48.8%
52.7%
P2
52.5%
55.8%
P3
48.1%
52.5%
Final 5 min
46.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.8%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |