Scouting Report
Matt Ellis holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ellis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.8% vs Ellis 46.8% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 72.5%
Defensive zone
Ellis 65.3%
Neutral zone
Ellis 53.8%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Gaudette
Ellis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,485)
47.3% (607)
-3.3%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
28.6% (7)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
42.1% (95)
+4.6%
On power play, Gaudette has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. Gaudette is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,202).
Gaudette shoots right. Ellis is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Ellis
Home
46.0% (913)
48.5% (303)
Away
42.6% (770)
44.8% (406)
By Period
Gaudette
Ellis
P1
44.9%
50.0%
P2
46.6%
46.2%
P3
41.4%
41.3%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.4%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%