Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.8% vs Kelly 41.7% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 79.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 75.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 51.3%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Gaudette
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gaudette
Kelly
Last 6: Gaudette 3-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Kelly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Kelly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
2
Gaudette
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,485)
42.0% (758)
+2.0%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
0.0% (3)
+47.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
36.8% (174)
+9.9%
On power play, Gaudette has a +47.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Gaudette is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,202).
Gaudette shoots right. Kelly is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kelly
Home
46.0% (913)
42.4% (476)
Away
42.6% (770)
39.2% (459)
By Period
Gaudette
Kelly
P1
44.9%
42.3%
P2
46.6%
44.7%
P3
41.4%
35.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.4%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |