Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 50.2% vs Donato 45.4% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 57.1%
Defensive zone
Donato 54.0%
Neutral zone
Donato 54.8%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Gaudette
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Gaudette
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Gaudette
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (338)
43.5% (400)
+6.5%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
48.7% (119)
+9.6%
On power play, Gaudette has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Gaudette is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Gaudette shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Donato
Home
54.4% (206)
50.2% (279)
Away
44.4% (144)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Gaudette
Donato
P1
49.2%
44.6%
P2
50.4%
46.6%
P3
51.6%
42.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
44.0%▼
45.5%
50.3%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |