Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.9% vs Carrick 54.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 64.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 87.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 72.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Gaudette
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gaudette
Carrick
Last 7: Gaudette 5-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
0
Gaudette
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (203)
55.5% (470)
-7.2%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
66.7% (3)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.0% (58)
+0.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Gaudette is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Gaudette shoots right. Carrick is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Carrick
Home
48.9% (92)
58.6% (261)
Away
50.3% (149)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Gaudette
Carrick
P1
48.8%
55.9%
P2
52.5%
53.5%
P3
48.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.4%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.8%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |