Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.8% vs Nosek 53.6% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 72.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 79.8%
Neutral zone
Nosek 51.8%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Gaudette
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Gaudette
Nosek
Last 10: Gaudette 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Gaudette
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Gaudette
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
5
1
Gaudette
Nosek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,485)
54.9% (2,710)
-10.9%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
45.8% (48)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
47.2% (428)
-0.5%
On even strength, Nosek has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Gaudette is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,202).
Gaudette shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Nosek
Home
46.0% (913)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
42.6% (770)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Gaudette
Nosek
P1
44.9%
52.2%
P2
46.6%
54.1%
P3
41.4%
54.7%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.4%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |