Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.9%). Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lowry shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Lowry 53.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 51.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Henrique
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Lowry
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
55.7% (707)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
85.7% (7)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
39.0% (100)
+11.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lowry
Home
52.4% (227)
54.3% (429)
Away
55.2% (324)
53.5% (385)
By Period
Henrique
Lowry
P1
57.0%
53.1%
P2
52.5%
55.2%
P3
52.4%
54.4%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |