Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Hayton 52.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 70.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 66.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 50.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Henrique
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
0
1
Henrique
Hayton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Hayton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
52.4% (647)
+3.0%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
56.8% (111)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
36.8% (19)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hayton
Home
52.4% (227)
56.8% (433)
Away
55.2% (324)
47.4% (344)
By Period
Henrique
Hayton
P1
57.0%
52.8%
P2
52.5%
50.3%
P3
52.4%
55.4%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |