Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lizotte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Lizotte 50.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 68.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 78.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 70.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Henrique
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Henrique
Lizotte
Last 5: Henrique 1-4 Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
2
Henrique
Lizotte
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Lizotte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
1
Henrique
Lizotte
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (445)
53.2% (316)
+1.4%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
38.5% (13)
+22.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
28.0% (25)
+23.9%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Henrique is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Henrique shoots left. Lizotte is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lizotte
Home
58.1% (310)
46.9% (177)
Away
51.9% (237)
54.8% (177)
By Period
Henrique
Lizotte
P1
56.1%
42.3%
P2
53.6%
51.8%
P3
55.7%
60.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
55.4%
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |