Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Lizotte 47.5% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 55.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 52.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Henrique
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Henrique
Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
1
Henrique
Lizotte
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
47.9% (313)
+7.5%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
33.3% (6)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
41.3% (46)
+6.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lizotte
Home
56.4% (553)
48.8% (170)
Away
50.0% (530)
45.1% (195)
By Period
Henrique
Lizotte
P1
51.7%
44.4%
P2
55.5%
53.3%
P3
52.5%
43.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
53.3%
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |