Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Horvat 56.1% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 75.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 72.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 50.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Henrique
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Henrique
Horvat
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
55.7% (731)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
63.4% (243)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
48.6% (107)
+2.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Home / Away
Henrique
Horvat
Home
52.4% (227)
59.4% (537)
Away
55.2% (324)
54.0% (544)
By Period
Henrique
Horvat
P1
57.0%
59.9%
P2
52.5%
54.5%
P3
52.4%
56.1%
OT
100.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |