Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Jenner 53.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 56.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 55.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 59.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Henrique
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Henrique
Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Jenner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Jenner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
54.5% (775)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
59.1% (198)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
46.4% (140)
+1.1%
On power play, Jenner has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Henrique
Jenner
Home
56.4% (553)
52.9% (512)
Away
50.0% (530)
55.4% (601)
By Period
Henrique
Jenner
P1
51.7%
55.0%
P2
55.5%
54.5%
P3
52.5%
53.6%
OT
66.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
55.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
53.3%
Jenner
48.0%▼
50.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |