Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Howden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Howden 49.8% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 76.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 63.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 54.5%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Henrique
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Henrique
Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Howden
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
0
1
Henrique
Howden
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
0
1
Henrique
Howden
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
49.8% (402)
+5.6%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
55.6% (18)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
47.1% (34)
+3.6%
On even strength, Henrique has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Howden is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Henrique
Howden
Home
52.4% (227)
46.5% (217)
Away
55.2% (324)
52.7% (237)
By Period
Henrique
Howden
P1
57.0%
51.4%
P2
52.5%
51.6%
P3
52.4%
48.5%
OT
100.0%
26.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:59 | Neutral | Brett Howden |