Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs McDavid 48.1% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 77.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 74.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Henrique
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
47.7% (686)
+7.7%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
49.3% (75)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
48.9% (45)
+1.8%
On even strength, Henrique has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Henrique
McDavid
Home
52.4% (227)
50.0% (412)
Away
55.2% (324)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Henrique
McDavid
P1
57.0%
48.0%
P2
52.5%
48.5%
P3
52.4%
47.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%