Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.6%). Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Cozens 53.2% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 81.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 71.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 52.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Henrique
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Cozens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Henrique
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
53.2% (634)
+2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
57.7% (97)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
33.3% (6)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Henrique
Cozens
Home
52.4% (227)
54.8% (383)
Away
55.2% (324)
52.3% (354)
By Period
Henrique
Cozens
P1
57.0%
56.0%
P2
52.5%
51.2%
P3
52.4%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |