Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Larkin 52.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 73.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 63.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Henrique
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Henrique
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Henrique
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
51.1% (915)
+4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
59.4% (261)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
48.2% (168)
+2.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Henrique
Larkin
Home
52.4% (227)
51.7% (686)
Away
55.2% (324)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Henrique
Larkin
P1
57.0%
52.5%
P2
52.5%
52.7%
P3
52.4%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |