Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Lindholm 55.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 82.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 60.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 51.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Henrique
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
54.8% (766)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
62.3% (175)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
52.2% (92)
-1.5%
On power play, Lindholm has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lindholm
Home
52.4% (227)
56.6% (578)
Away
55.2% (324)
54.9% (455)
By Period
Henrique
Lindholm
P1
57.0%
55.2%
P2
52.5%
56.3%
P3
52.4%
56.3%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |