Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Rodrigues 47.1% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 75.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 56.1%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 54.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Henrique
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Henrique
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Henrique
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
47.8% (651)
+7.6%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
47.2% (72)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
36.8% (68)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Henrique
Rodrigues
Home
52.4% (227)
47.9% (445)
Away
55.2% (324)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Henrique
Rodrigues
P1
57.0%
48.3%
P2
52.5%
47.0%
P3
52.4%
44.8%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |