Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Vilardi shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Vilardi 46.4% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 78.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 85.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Henrique
Vilardi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Vilardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
0
1
Henrique
Vilardi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Vilardi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Vilardi
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
41.4% (70)
+14.0%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
48.0% (25)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
0.0% (1)
+50.7%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vilardi shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Vilardi is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Henrique
Vilardi
Home
52.4% (227)
40.0% (50)
Away
55.2% (324)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Henrique
Vilardi
P1
57.0%
48.6%
P2
52.5%
37.1%
P3
52.4%
41.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |