Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Evans 55.0% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 61.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 54.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Henrique
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Henrique
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Henrique
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
55.6% (522)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
72.7% (11)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
55.2% (210)
-4.5%
On power play, Evans has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Henrique
Evans
Home
52.4% (227)
54.7% (402)
Away
55.2% (324)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Henrique
Evans
P1
57.0%
57.9%
P2
52.5%
55.2%
P3
52.4%
53.6%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Jake Evans |