Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Guentzel 48.1% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 87.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 74.9%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 55.9%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Henrique
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Henrique
Guentzel
Last 6: Henrique 2-4 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
2
Henrique
Guentzel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Guentzel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
2
Henrique
Guentzel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
49.1% (230)
+6.3%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
44.9% (118)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
46.2% (26)
+4.5%
On even strength, Henrique has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Guentzel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Henrique
Guentzel
Home
52.4% (227)
50.2% (205)
Away
55.2% (324)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Henrique
Guentzel
P1
57.0%
47.6%
P2
52.5%
49.0%
P3
52.4%
46.2%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |