Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Guentzel 46.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Guentzel leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Guentzel 79.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 80.0%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 51.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Henrique
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Henrique
Guentzel
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
4
Henrique
Guentzel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
0
Henrique
Guentzel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
3
Henrique
Guentzel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,546)
46.4% (715)
+4.3%
Power Play
54.5% (1,763)
46.6% (298)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,832)
43.2% (44)
+3.0%
On power play, Henrique has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,525).
Henrique shoots left. Guentzel is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Home / Away
Henrique
Guentzel
Home
52.5% (6,430)
48.9% (583)
Away
48.8% (6,734)
43.2% (474)
By Period
Henrique
Guentzel
P1
50.6%
48.0%
P2
51.4%
45.5%
P3
50.3%
46.0%
OT
40.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
50.6%
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |