Adam Henrique vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Pageau 59.0% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 76.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 74.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 76.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
Henrique
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Henrique
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
59.4% (726)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
69.0% (42)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
59.7% (221)
-9.0%
On power play, Pageau has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Henrique
Pageau
Home
52.4% (227)
58.4% (430)
Away
55.2% (324)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Henrique
Pageau
P1
57.0%
55.4%
P2
52.5%
61.8%
P3
52.4%
61.5%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |