Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 44.9% vs Pavelski 55.5% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Henrique
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Henrique
Pavelski
Last 5: Henrique 1-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
3
Henrique
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Henrique
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (656)
55.7% (849)
-11.9%
Power Play
44.7% (152)
60.0% (205)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (110)
52.0% (152)
-4.7%
On power play, Pavelski has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Henrique is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Henrique shoots left. Pavelski is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Henrique
Pavelski
Home
45.3% (422)
59.2% (622)
Away
43.5% (496)
52.6% (584)
By Period
Henrique
Pavelski
P1
44.3%
54.1%
P2
44.1%
56.4%
P3
45.5%
56.4%
OT
26.7%
65.6%
Final 5 min
44.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
44.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 10:12 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |