Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Pavelski 52.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Henrique
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Henrique
Pavelski
Last 6: Henrique 2-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Pavelski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Henrique
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Henrique
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
52.5% (570)
+1.9%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
54.5% (145)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
44.4% (36)
+1.8%
On power play, Henrique has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Henrique
Pavelski
Home
55.3% (237)
55.0% (391)
Away
55.8% (260)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Henrique
Pavelski
P1
53.5%
50.8%
P2
64.8%
55.0%
P3
47.3%
52.0%
OT
58.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
55.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |