Adam Henrique vs Jonathan Marchessault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Marchessault 46.7% (+16.3%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 72.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 78.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 54.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Henrique
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
35.3% (34)
+20.1%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
66.7% (3)
-16.7%
On even strength, Henrique has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Marchessault is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Henrique
Marchessault
Home
52.4% (227)
40.0% (25)
Away
55.2% (324)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Henrique
Marchessault
P1
57.0%
50.0%
P2
52.5%
30.8%
P3
52.4%
22.2%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
12.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
37.8%