Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Toews 61.9% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 61.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 62.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 62.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Henrique
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Henrique
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Henrique
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Henrique
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
61.1% (650)
-9.2%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
71.9% (192)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
59.6% (99)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Henrique
Toews
Home
53.1% (339)
64.8% (560)
Away
49.1% (330)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Henrique
Toews
P1
48.5%
62.3%
P2
48.6%
63.9%
P3
54.2%
62.8%
OT
70.6%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |