Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Duchene 51.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 75.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 78.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 58.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Henrique
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Henrique
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
51.1% (366)
+4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
61.5% (65)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
16.7% (6)
+34.0%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +34.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Henrique
Duchene
Home
52.4% (227)
51.7% (201)
Away
55.2% (324)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Henrique
Duchene
P1
57.0%
49.0%
P2
52.5%
57.1%
P3
52.4%
49.2%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |