Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.7% vs Zibanejad 48.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 53.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 88.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 73.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Henrique
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Henrique
Zibanejad
Last 8: Henrique 6-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (358)
49.1% (1,031)
+4.3%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
47.5% (200)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (94)
46.7% (30)
-2.0%
On power play, Henrique has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Henrique is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Henrique shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (834).
Home / Away
Henrique
Zibanejad
Home
53.9% (245)
52.0% (658)
Away
50.4% (274)
45.3% (603)
By Period
Henrique
Zibanejad
P1
52.8%
48.0%
P2
56.5%
53.2%
P3
46.1%
45.8%
OT
58.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
52.0%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2014 | 3 | 01:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 17, 2014 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 17, 2014 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2014 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |