Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 65.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Henrique
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Henrique
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Henrique
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
53.3% (807)
+2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
47.6% (42)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
46.3% (147)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Henrique
Zibanejad
Home
52.4% (227)
49.8% (466)
Away
55.2% (324)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Henrique
Zibanejad
P1
57.0%
52.9%
P2
52.5%
51.2%
P3
52.4%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |