Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 54.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 66.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 57.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Henrique
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Henrique
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
49.7% (292)
+5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
50.0% (6)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
47.2% (36)
+3.5%
On even strength, Henrique has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bjugstad
Home
52.4% (227)
48.7% (193)
Away
55.2% (324)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Henrique
Bjugstad
P1
57.0%
41.5%
P2
52.5%
57.3%
P3
52.4%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |