Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 62.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 91.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 74.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Henrique
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Henrique
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
45.9% (697)
+9.5%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
47.9% (117)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
48.0% (25)
+2.7%
On even strength, Henrique has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Henrique
Schmaltz
Home
52.4% (227)
44.9% (434)
Away
55.2% (324)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Henrique
Schmaltz
P1
57.0%
41.5%
P2
52.5%
46.7%
P3
52.4%
51.1%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |