Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Roy 51.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 50.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 50.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 55.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Henrique
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Henrique
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
51.9% (547)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
54.1% (37)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
53.3% (92)
-2.6%
On power play, Roy has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Henrique
Roy
Home
52.4% (227)
54.0% (328)
Away
55.2% (324)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Henrique
Roy
P1
57.0%
53.5%
P2
52.5%
51.6%
P3
52.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |