Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Thomas 51.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 18-18 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 51.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 59.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 53.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Henrique
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
18
(36 meetings)
18
18
Henrique
Thomas
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
8
Henrique
Thomas
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
6
8
Henrique
Thomas
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
7
2
Henrique
Thomas
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,546)
51.1% (5,387)
-0.4%
Power Play
54.5% (1,763)
55.8% (927)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,832)
50.2% (697)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,639).
Henrique shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Henrique
Thomas
Home
52.5% (6,430)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
48.8% (6,734)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Henrique
Thomas
P1
50.6%
50.7%
P2
51.4%
53.0%
P3
50.3%
50.8%
OT
40.6%
59.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
50.6%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |